Twins at Blue Jays
Last play · Rayne Doncon strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
MIN 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Rivera singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyler Fedko. Rainer Nunez scores. (inning 8) — +29% Blue Jays
8Josh Rivera singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyler Fedko. Rainer Nunez scores.2–3
7Daulton Varsho homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
6Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Austin Martin. Myles Straw scores. Rainer Nunez to 3rd.2–1
6Jose F Miranda homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Martin scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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