Padres at Rangers
Last play · Braedon Karpathios out at 3rd, catcher Chad Wallach to third baseman Jax Biggers.
Win probability
Rangers100%
SD 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Rangers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcus Semien homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 1) — +17% Rangers
8Cameron Cauley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Oscar Gonzalez. Kellen Strahm scores. Cody Thomas to 3rd.2–8
7Blaine Crim singles on a line drive to second baseman Clay Dungan. Alan Trejo scores. Jax Biggers to 3rd. Throwing error by second baseman Clay Dungan.2–7
7Cameron Cauley homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Cody Thomas scores.2–6
4Kevin Pillar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Leody Taveras scores.2–4
4Leody Taveras doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Oscar Gonzalez. Dustin Harris scores.2–3
4Jackson Merrill homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3Corey Seager grounds into a force out, first baseman Trenton Brooks to shortstop Eguy Rosario. Kevin Pillar scores. Marcus Semien out at 2nd. Corey Seager to 1st.1–2
1Marcus Semien homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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