Brewers at Royals
Last play · Luke Adams pops out to first baseman Brett Squires in foul territory.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 2 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Royals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to center fielder Yophery Rodriguez. MJ Melendez scores. (inning 6) — +19% Royals
8Kyle Hayes reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Luke Adams. Daniel Vazquez scores.2–5
8Daniel Vazquez triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jared Oliva. Peyton Wilson scores.2–4
6Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to center fielder Yophery Rodriguez. MJ Melendez scores.2–3
4Jake Bauers doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Mark Canha scores.2–2
3Jac Caglianone homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
3Vinny Capra out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Noah Cameron to first baseman Jac Caglianone. Raynel Delgado scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.1–1
1Jonathan India homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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