Rays at Phillies
Last play · Rodolfo Castro lines out to left fielder Matthew Etzel.
Win probability
Phillies0%
TB 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Phillies favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brock Jones homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Matthew Etzel scores. (inning 9) — -44% Rays
9Jonny DeLuca walks. Curtis Mead scores. Ricardo Genovés to 3rd. Xavier Isaac to 2nd.5–4
9Brock Jones homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Matthew Etzel scores.4–4
9Cooper Kinney grounds out, first baseman Carson Taylor to pitcher Joel Kuhnel. Tre' Morgan scores. Matthew Etzel to 3rd.2–4
8Trent Farquhar walks. Buddy Kennedy scores. Óscar Mercado to 3rd. Carson Taylor to 2nd.1–4
8Brock Jones homers (1) on a line drive to right center field.1–3
6J.T. Realmuto singles on a ground ball to left fielder Matthew Etzel, deflected by shortstop Émilien Pitre. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler to 2nd.0–3
4Max Kepler homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
4Nick Castellanos homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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