Astros at Mets
Last play · Pascanel Ferreras grounds into a double play, shortstop Luis De Los Santos to second baseman Kevin Villavicencio to first baseman Ryan Clifford. César Salazar out at 2nd. Pascanel Ferreras out at 1st.
Win probability
Mets100%
HOU 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Clifford homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Luis De Los Santos scores. (inning 6) — +17% Mets
6Brett Baty homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Willy Fanas scores.0–5
6Ryan Clifford homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Luis De Los Santos scores.0–3
5Jakson Reetz grounds out, pitcher Miguel Ullola to first baseman Luis Castro. Jose Siri scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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