Astros at Mets
Last play · Donovan Walton grounds out to first baseman Luis Castro.
Win probability
Mets0%
HOU 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 5 – 1 NYM
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jon Singleton singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Cam Smith scores. (inning 1) — -12% Astros
5Quincy Hamilton doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Jon Singleton scores.5–1
4Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cooper Hummel. Jeff McNeil scores.4–1
4Jacob Melton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Brendan Rodgers scores.4–0
4Brendan Rodgers doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alexander Canario. Chas McCormick scores.3–0
3Cam Smith singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alexander Canario, deflected by third baseman Mark Vientos. Luis Guillorme scores. Cooper Hummel to 2nd.2–0
1Jon Singleton singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Cam Smith scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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