Pirates at Twins
Last play · Luke Keaschall strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
PIT 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 1 MIN
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Twins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jack Suwinski singles on a ground ball to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Nick Solak scores. (inning 2) — -18% Pirates
8Matt Gorski doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Carson McCusker. Omar Alfonzo scores.12–1
8Tsung-Che Cheng out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dalton Shuffield. Sammy Siani scores.11–1
8Abrahan Gutierrez strikes out swinging.10–1
8Omar Alfonzo walks. Jack Brannigan scores. Konnor Griffin to 3rd. Sammy Siani to 2nd.9–1
8Jack Brannigan doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Dalton Shuffield. Malcom Nuñez scores.8–1
6Joey Bart out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dalton Shuffield. Jack Suwinski scores.7–1
6Oneil Cruz grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeferson Morales to shortstop Will Holland. Alika Williams scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd. Nick Yorke out at 2nd. Oneil Cruz to 1st.6–1
6Alika Williams doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Kala'i Rosario. Nick Solak scores.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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