Yankees at Twins
Last play · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jared Wegner. Diego Cartaya scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.
Win probability
Twins100%
NYY 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 4 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Twins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Wallner homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Martin scores. (inning 5) — +29% Twins
9DaShawn Keirsey Jr. singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jared Wegner. Diego Cartaya scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.4–5
5Matt Wallner homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Martin scores.4–4
5Dominic Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Rice scores.4–2
5Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Roderick Arias scores.2–2
3Harrison Bader homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Ty France homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
2Everson Pereira homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































