Rays at Twins
Last play · Rubel Cespedes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
TB 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 3 MIN
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mickey Gasper singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Allan Cerda scores. (inning 9) — +42% Twins
9Mickey Gasper singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Allan Cerda scores.5–5
9Luke Keaschall grounds out, shortstop Carson Williams to first baseman Tre' Morgan. Will Holland scores.5–4
8Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, shortstop Will Holland to second baseman Jeferson Morales. Matthew Etzel scores. Brayden Taylor to 3rd. Willy Vasquez out at 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.5–3
5Trevor Larnach homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3
5Byron Buxton homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
4Ryan Jeffers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Byron Buxton scores.4–1
3Junior Caminero homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Richie Palacios scores.4–0
1Junior Caminero homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Richie Palacios scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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