Braves at Twins
Last play · Eddy Alvarez lines out to center fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
Win probability
Twins100%
ATL 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 MIN
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Twins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Stephen Paolini. Carson McCusker scores. Kala'i Rosario scores. Will Holland to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Eddy Alvarez. (inning 6) — +34% Twins
7Kala'i Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cody Milligan. Ryan Fitzgerald scores. Jair Camargo to 3rd.1–3
6Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Stephen Paolini. Carson McCusker scores. Kala'i Rosario scores. Will Holland to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Eddy Alvarez.1–2
3Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Conner Capel scores. Carlos D. Rodriguez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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