Orioles at Twins
Last play · Kala'i Rosario grounds into a double play, shortstop Luis Vazquez to second baseman Vimael Machín to first baseman Creed Willems. Jeferson Morales out at 2nd. Kala'i Rosario out at 1st.
Win probability
Twins0%
BAL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 1 MIN
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 15.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to right fielder Harrison Bader. Livan Soto scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Orioles
7Heston Kjerstad singles on a ground ball to center fielder Allan Cerda. Livan Soto scores. Franklin Barreto to 3rd.5–2
6Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Armando Alvarez scores.4–2
6Emmanuel Rivera homers (2) on a line drive to center field.4–1
5Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Dylan Carlson scores. Livan Soto to 2nd.3–1
3Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to right fielder Harrison Bader. Livan Soto scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.2–1
3Livan Soto singles on a line drive to right fielder Harrison Bader. Dylan Carlson scores.1–1
1Royce Lewis singles on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Carlos Correa scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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