Phillies at Twins
Last play · Luke Keaschall grounds out, pitcher Carlos A. Francisco to first baseman Carson Taylor.
Win probability
Twins0%
PHI 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 4 – 0 MIN
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 14.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Twins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Lantigua singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Rodolfo Castro scores. Cal Stevenson scores. (inning 2) — -18% Phillies
9Anthony Prato out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. Carson McCusker scores. Allan Cerda to 3rd. Ryan Fitzgerald to 2nd.4–1
2Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Rafael Lantigua scores.4–0
2Rafael Lantigua singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Rodolfo Castro scores. Cal Stevenson scores.3–0
2Cal Stevenson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Alec Bohm scores. Rodolfo Castro to 3rd. Cal Stevenson to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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