Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Aaron Sabato singles on a line drive to right fielder Trayce Thompson. Allan Cerda scores. Nick Lucky to 3rd. Carson McCusker to 2nd.
Win probability
Twins100%
BOS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trayce Thompson hits a grand slam (5) to left field. Karson Simas scores. David Hamilton scores. Mark Kolozsvary scores. (inning 8) — -68% Red Sox
9Aaron Sabato singles on a line drive to right fielder Trayce Thompson. Allan Cerda scores. Nick Lucky to 3rd. Carson McCusker to 2nd.8–9
8Jeferson Morales homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.8–8
8Trayce Thompson hits a grand slam (5) to left field. Karson Simas scores. David Hamilton scores. Mark Kolozsvary scores.8–7
8Mark Kolozsvary hit by pitch. Miguel Bleis scores. Karson Simas to 3rd. David Hamilton to 2nd.4–7
8David Hamilton walks. Blake Sabol scores. Miguel Bleis to 3rd. Karson Simas to 2nd.3–7
7Nick Sogard homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.2–7
6Austin Martin singles on a line drive to right fielder Trayce Thompson. Nick Lucky scores.0–7
6Ty France homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Armando Alvarez scores. Carson McCusker scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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