Padres at Reds
Last play · Braedon Karpathios flies out sharply to left fielder Blake Dunn.
Win probability
Reds100%
SD 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 1 CIN
Padres led after 5
Total runs
15.5
opened 14.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Robertson. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 6) — +19% Reds
9Mike Brosseau reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Dominic Pitelli. Yonathan Perlaza scores. Romeo Sanabria to 3rd. Kai Murphy to 2nd.3–7
7Sal Stewart doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Tyler Robertson, deflected by right fielder Jake Snider.2–7
6Noelvi Marte strikes out swinging.2–6
6Ivan Johnson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Snider. Sal Stewart scores. Austin Wynns scores. Cooper Bowman to 3rd.2–5
6Christian Encarnacion-Strand out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Robertson. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–3
6Elly De La Cruz doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jake Snider. Matt McLain scores.2–2
2Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (2) on a line drive to left field.2–1
2Tyler Wade singles on a line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Trenton Brooks scores. Niko Goodrum to 3rd. Tyler Wade to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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