Guardians at D-backs
Last play · Jorge Burgos called out on strikes.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CLE 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
D-backs favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Johnathan Rodriguez. Jorge Barrosa scores. Kristian Robinson scores. (inning 5) — +30% D-backs
5Eugenio Suárez doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Johnathan Rodriguez. Jorge Barrosa scores. Kristian Robinson scores.3–4
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Johnathan Rodriguez. Garrett Hampson scores.3–2
4Corbin Carroll homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
4Kyle Manzardo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Hedges scores.3–0
1Gabriel Arias homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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