Cubs at D-backs
CHC2–
AZ10Last play · Andy Garriola flies out to center fielder Cristian Pache.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CHC 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 14.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -150
D-backs favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. (inning 2) — +15% D-backs
8Kristian Robinson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. René Pinto scores.2–10
6Josh Naylor singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Parker Chavers. Jake McCarthy scores.2–8
6Jake McCarthy hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jorge Barrosa scores.2–7
6Jorge Barrosa doubles (1) on a ground ball to center fielder Christian Franklin. Connor Kaiser scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Throwing error by center fielder Christian Franklin.2–6
6Dansby Swanson grounds into a double play, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Josh Naylor. Michael Busch scores. Justin Turner out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson out at 1st.2–4
3Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to left fielder Seiya Suzuki, deflected by third baseman Gage Workman. Josh Naylor scores.1–4
3Eugenio Suárez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Seiya Suzuki. Jake McCarthy scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.1–3
2Randal Grichuk homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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