Royals at D-backs
Last play · Luca Tresh pops out to second baseman Tim Tawa.
Win probability
D-backs100%
KC 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
D-backs favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to center fielder Maikel Garcia. Jorge Barrosa scores. (inning 3) — +11% D-backs
8Connor Kaiser singles on a fly ball to left fielder Gavin Cross. René Pinto scores. A.J. Vukovich to 3rd.1–6
8René Pinto doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Cross. Trey Mancini scores.1–5
6MJ Melendez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
5Corbin Carroll homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Grae Kessinger scores.0–4
5Gino Groover homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
3Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to center fielder Maikel Garcia. Jorge Barrosa scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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