Royals at D-backs
Last play · Jack Pineda pops out to third baseman Grae Kessinger.
Win probability
D-backs100%
KC 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 3 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
D-backs favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Maikel Garcia. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte scores. (inning 5) — +17% D-backs
8Luca Tresh grounds out, third baseman Grae Kessinger to first baseman Trey Mancini. Drew Waters scores.2–3
6Michael Massey singles on a line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Kyle Isbel scores.1–3
5Josh Naylor singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Maikel Garcia. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte scores.0–3
5Geraldo Perdomo singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Lucas Erceg. Jordan Lawlar scores. Throwing error by pitcher Lucas Erceg.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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