Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Gabriel Gonzalez flies out to right fielder Nate Eaton.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Triston Casas scores. (inning 3) — +15% Red Sox
7Tyler McDonough out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Allan Cerda. Ahbram Liendo scores.4–8
7Mikey Romero singles on a line drive to left fielder Allan Cerda. Nathan Hickey scores. Ahbram Liendo to 3rd.4–7
6Christian Vázquez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jhostynxon Garcia. Ty France scores. Jose Miranda scores.4–6
5Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Trevor Story scores. Rob Refsnyder scores.2–6
4Alex Bregman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Throwing error by center fielder Harrison Bader.2–4
4Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Romy Gonzalez scores.2–3
3Trevor Story doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Triston Casas scores.2–2
2Connor Wong homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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