Last play · Jay Beshears grounds out, shortstop Franklin Arias to first baseman Nathan Hickey.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
MIA 2 – 11 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+145 / -180
Red Sox favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox
9Jack Winkler homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Andrew Pintar scores. Mark Coley II scores.5–20
8Blake Sabol doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Corey Rosier scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd.2–20
8Corey Rosier grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Jack Winkler. Blaze Jordan scores. Mark Kolozsvary out at 2nd. Corey Rosier to 1st.2–19
8Blaze Jordan triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Andrew Pintar. Phillip Sikes scores.2–18
7Nathan Hickey doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Nate Eaton scores.2–17
7Nate Eaton singles on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Vaughn Grissom scores.2–16
7Vaughn Grissom doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Blaze Jordan scores. Mark Kolozsvary scores.2–15
6Franklin Arias doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Stowers. Nathan Hickey scores.2–13
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
MIA5–
BOS20