Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Kenny Piper grounds out, shortstop Marvin Alcantara to first baseman Nick Sogard.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TB 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 13.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masataka Yoshida singles on a fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Andy Lugo scores. (inning 5) — +15% Red Sox
6Andy Lugo doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Aidan Smith. Nick Sogard scores. Nate Eaton to 3rd.2–4
6Bob Seymour grounds out, second baseman Kristian Campbell to first baseman Nick Sogard. Jonathan Aranda scores. Carson Williams to 2nd.2–3
5David Hamilton singles on a line drive to right fielder Tristan Peters. Masataka Yoshida scores. Marvin Alcantara to 3rd.1–3
5Masataka Yoshida singles on a fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Andy Lugo scores.1–2
5Eloy Jiménez singles on a soft line drive to third baseman Alex Bregman. Bob Seymour scores. Tres Barrera out at 2nd, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman David Hamilton. Coco Montes to 3rd.1–1
2Trayce Thompson doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Connor Wong scores. Abraham Toro to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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