D-backs at Cubs
Last play · Trey Mancini strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
AZ 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 2 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Cubs favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carson Kelly homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +20% Cubs
8Reese McGuire singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Jake Rice. Moises Ballesteros scores. Benjamin Cowles to 3rd.2–4
6Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.2–3
5Vidal Bruján homers (1) on a line drive to left field.2–2
5Carson Kelly homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
5Connor Kaiser grounds out, third baseman Jon Berti to first baseman Jonathon Long. Geraldo Perdomo scores.2–0
2Geraldo Perdomo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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