Rangers at Cubs
Last play · Jonathan Ornelas grounds out, first baseman Haydn McGeary to pitcher Sam Armstrong.
Win probability
Cubs100%
TEX 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 0 CHC
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
0
—
Run line
0
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Cubs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Reese McGuire grounds into a force out, shortstop Jonathan Ornelas to second baseman Alan Trejo. Parker Chavers scores. Hayden Cantrelle out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Alan Trejo. (inning 8) — +29% Cubs
8Reese McGuire grounds into a force out, shortstop Jonathan Ornelas to second baseman Alan Trejo. Parker Chavers scores. Hayden Cantrelle out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Alan Trejo.5–6
7Haydn McGeary doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Luis Mieses. Dixon Machado scores.5–5
7Dixon Machado singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jonathan Ornelas. Greg Allen scores.5–4
6Jonathon Long singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Thomas. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Vidal Bruján scores. Jonathon Long to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Cody Thomas.5–3
6Alan Trejo grounds out, third baseman BJ Murray Jr. to first baseman Jonathon Long.5–0
6Alejandro Osuna out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Greg Allen. Kellen Strahm scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd.4–0
5Trevor Hauver homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
3Sam Haggerty grounds out, pitcher Ryan Pressly to first baseman Jonathon Long. Corey Seager scores. Josh Jung to 3rd. Tucker Barnhart to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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