Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Haydn McGeary strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
MIL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 8 – 6 CHC
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 11.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 1) — -22% Brewers
9Kay-Lan Nicasia singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Parker Chavers. Isaac Collins scores. Anthony Seigler to 2nd.9–7
8Vidal Bruján strikes out swinging.8–7
5Oliver Dunn homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.8–6
3Jon Berti flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Jake Bauers to first baseman Rhys Hoskins to shortstop Raynel Delgado. Matt Shaw scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Carson Kelly out at 2nd.7–6
3Carson Kelly singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.7–5
3Jake Bauers homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Oliver Dunn scores.7–4
1Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Matt Shaw scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.5–4
1Matt Shaw doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Sal Frelick. Michael Busch scores.5–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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