Mariners at Cubs
Last play · Samad Taylor grounds out, second baseman Nicky Lopez to first baseman Carlos Pérez.
Win probability
Cubs100%
SEA 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 6 – 7 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Cubs favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Justin Turner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores. (inning 3) — +42% Cubs
9Colt Emerson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.8–9
8Harry Ford homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.7–9
6Seiya Suzuki homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jon Berti scores.6–9
5Jorge Polanco homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores.6–7
3Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Justin Turner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores.4–7
3Matt Shaw walks. Seiya Suzuki scores. Justin Turner to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.4–3
3Mitch Garver out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Randy Arozarena scores.4–2
3Randy Arozarena doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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