Astros at Nationals
Last play · Andrew Pinckney called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals0%
HOU 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 0 WSH
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -135
Nationals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 1) — -22% Astros
9Chase Jaworsky singles on a line drive to center fielder Andrew Pinckney. Kenni Gomez scores.3–0
1Yainer Diaz homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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