Mets at Astros
Last play · Omar De Los Santos called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
NYM 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Astros favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Caratini reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Jared Young. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker scores. (inning 1) — +22% Astros
9Travis Swaggerty singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Joseph Sullivan. Jakson Reetz scores. Alex Ramírez to 3rd. Travis Swaggerty to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Joseph Sullivan.5–8
8Cam Smith homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.4–8
6Cam Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Brice Matthews scores.4–7
5Victor Caratini homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–5
3Luis Guillorme singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Victor Caratini scores. Ben Gamel to 3rd. Chas McCormick to 2nd.4–4
3Chas McCormick hit by pitch. Christian Walker scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd. Ben Gamel to 2nd.4–3
3Brett Baty homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–2
2Luisangel Acuña grounds out, shortstop Luis Guillorme to first baseman Christian Walker. Jared Young scores. Donovan Walton to 2nd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































