Cardinals at Astros
Last play · Ryan Vilade strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
STL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 2 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Astros favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Zack Short scores. (inning 3) — +12% Astros
9Bryan Torres grounds out, first baseman Collin Price to pitcher Ryan Gusto. Jose Barrero scores. César Prieto to 3rd.2–3
8Michael Helman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cooper Hummel. Ryan Vilade scores.1–3
7Shay Whitcomb homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
3Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Zack Short scores.0–2
1Isaac Paredes homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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