Braves at Nationals
Last play · Cayden Wallace grounds into a force out, shortstop Christian Cairo to second baseman Cal Conley. Brady House out at 2nd.
Win probability
Nationals0%
ATL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 2 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Conley singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Elijah Green. (inning 9) — -33% Braves
9Cal Conley singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Elijah Green.4–3
8Trey Lipscomb walks. Drew Millas scores. Elijah Green to 3rd. Andrew Pinckney to 2nd.3–3
8Carlos Rodríguez doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Andrew Pinckney. Cal Conley scores.3–2
5José Devers reaches on a throwing error by catcher Riley Adams. Jake Marisnick scores. José Devers to 3rd.2–2
4Conner Capel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Robert Hassell III. Bryan De La Cruz scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.1–2
2CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Marisnick. Robert Hassell III scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.0–2
2Jacob Young grounds into a force out, shortstop Eli White to second baseman Eddy Alvarez. Paul DeJong scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd. Riley Adams out at 2nd. Jacob Young to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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