Nationals at Astros
Last play · Tommy Sacco Jr. lines out to right fielder Andrew Pinckney.
Win probability
Astros0%
WSH 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 3 HOU
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Astros favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul DeJong homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Nathaniel Lowe scores. (inning 3) — -21% Nationals
5Jake Meyers singles on a fly ball to right fielder Andrew Pinckney. Victor Caratini scores. Quincy Hamilton to 3rd.4–3
5Luis Guillorme out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Zack Short scores.4–2
3Paul DeJong homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Nathaniel Lowe scores.4–1
2Jake Meyers singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Quincy Hamilton scores. Brendan Rodgers to 2nd.2–1
1Alex Call singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. James Wood scores. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.2–0
1Keibert Ruiz reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Luis Guillorme. Nathaniel Lowe scores. James Wood to 3rd. Throwing error by left fielder Jose Altuve.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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