Yankees at Astros
Last play · César Salazar homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Kenni Gomez scores. Luis Guillorme scores.
Win probability
Astros100%
NYY 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 0 HOU
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Astros favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cristian Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cole Gabrielson. Brice Matthews scores. (inning 9) — +42% Astros
9César Salazar homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Kenni Gomez scores. Luis Guillorme scores.2–5
9Cristian Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cole Gabrielson. Brice Matthews scores.2–2
9Brice Matthews triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ismael Munguia. Cooper Hummel scores.2–1
9Duke Ellis hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball to left field. Cole Gabrielson scores.2–0
2Pablo Reyes singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. J.C. Escarra scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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