Mets at Astros
Last play · Jacob Reimer grounds out, third baseman Luis Guillorme to first baseman Collin Price.
Win probability
Astros100%
NYM 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -215
Astros favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Donovan Walton hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Luisangel Acuña scores. Brett Baty scores. Alexander Canario scores. (inning 7) — -45% Mets
8Luis Guillorme grounds out, third baseman Jacob Reimer to first baseman Corey Collins.4–7
8Colin Barber singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder D'Andre Smith. Luis Baez scores. Kenni Gomez to 3rd.4–6
7Luis Guillorme singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alexander Canario. Jose Altuve scores.4–5
7Jose Altuve doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder D'Andre Smith. Zack Short scores. Kenni Gomez scores.4–4
7Brendan Rodgers hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to left-center field. Zach Dezenzo scores. Jesús Bastidas scores.4–2
7Donovan Walton hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Luisangel Acuña scores. Brett Baty scores. Alexander Canario scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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