Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Yohandy Morales grounds out, shortstop José Barrero to first baseman R.J. Yeager.
Win probability
Nationals0%
STL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 5 – 2 WSH
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Helman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Thomas Saggese scores. (inning 2) — -15% Cardinals
6Juan Yepez grounds out, shortstop JJ Wetherholt to first baseman R.J. Yeager. Darren Baker scores.5–3
5Luken Baker walks.5–2
4Michael Helman grounds out, third baseman José Tena to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Thomas Saggese scores. Ryan Vilade to 3rd.4–2
4Ryan Vilade hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball to right field. Pedro Pagés scores. Thomas Saggese to 3rd.3–2
3Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Jacob Young scores. Robert Hassell III to 2nd.2–2
2Michael Helman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Thomas Saggese scores.2–1
2Ryan Vilade grounds into a force out, shortstop Trey Lipscomb to second baseman Amed Rosario. Pedro Pagés scores. Thomas Saggese to 3rd. Matt Koperniak out at 2nd. Ryan Vilade to 1st.1–1
1Keibert Ruiz grounds out, second baseman Michael Helman to first baseman Willson Contreras. Jacob Young scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd. Keibert Ruiz out at 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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