Blue Jays at Braves
Last play · Luke Williams flies out to center fielder Steward Berroa.
Win probability
Braves0%
TOR 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 ATL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -215
Braves favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Williams homers (1) on a line drive to left field. (inning 7) — +23% Braves
7Luke Williams homers (1) on a line drive to left field.1–1
5Rainer Nunez grounds into a force out, third baseman Austin Riley to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Michael Stefanic scores. Myles Straw to 3rd. Jonatan Clase out at 2nd. Rainer Nunez to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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