Pirates at Braves
Last play · Matthew Batten singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Solak. Stephen Paolini scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
PIT 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 2 ATL
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lizandro Espinoza grounds out, shortstop Alika Williams to first baseman Darick Hall. Ambioris Tavarez scores. (inning 9) — +42% Braves
9Matthew Batten singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Solak. Stephen Paolini scores.5–6
9Lizandro Espinoza grounds out, shortstop Alika Williams to first baseman Darick Hall. Ambioris Tavarez scores.5–5
9Stephen Paolini doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Gorski. Chadwick Tromp scores. Ambioris Tavarez to 3rd.5–4
9Ambioris Tavarez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Gorski. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. scores. Chadwick Tromp to 3rd.5–3
8Matt Gorski singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. Bryce Johnson scores.5–2
4Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Jared Triolo scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd.4–2
4Jack Suwinski doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II, deflected by left fielder Jurickson Profar. DJ Stewart scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.3–2
3Endy Rodríguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II, deflected by left fielder Jurickson Profar. Oneil Cruz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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