Astros at Twins
Last play · Ty France pops out to first baseman Christian Walker in foul territory.
Win probability
Twins0%
HOU 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 2 MIN
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Rodgers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Christian Walker scores. Victor Caratini scores. (inning 4) — -26% Astros
6Brendan Rodgers doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Victor Caratini scores.5–2
4Brendan Rodgers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Christian Walker scores. Victor Caratini scores.4–2
2Jeremy Peña homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
2Christian Walker homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Altuve. Byron Buxton scores.0–2
1Carlos Correa grounds out softly, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Matt Wallner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


















































