Wofford vs. Virginia Tech: Final Score & Recap

CommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Wofford

06

Virginia Tech0-3

▸0038

Final

Lane Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
WOFF	0	3	0	3	6
VT	7	14	10	7	38

WOFFTeam statsVT

141Total yards461

142Pass307

-1Rush154

8First downs28

5-153rd down6-11

1Turnovers1

25:31Possession34:29

Scoring plays

• Q4 10:52VTKyron Drones 2 Yd Run (Kyle Lowe Kick)6–38
• Q4 13:18WOFFSam Spence 42 Yd Field Goal 6–31
• Q3 1:08VTKyron Drones 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)3–31
• Q3 9:00VTJohn Love 20 Yd Field Goal 3–24
• Q2 0:43WOFFSam Spence 43 Yd Field Goal 3–21
• Q2 6:24VTAyden Greene 18 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Love Kick)0–21
• Q2 11:53VTDevin Alves 19 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Love Kick)0–14
• Q1 6:26VTBraydon Bennett 3 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

VT −35

Against the number

WOFF covered

line VT −35

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

WOFF aheadVT ahead

Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = WOFF ahead, below = VT ahead.

GRIDPEX.COM

Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

VT −35

Closing total

51.5

Model line

—

Actual result

WOFF 6 – 38 VT

Leaders

Wofford

• PassJayden Whitaker 16/27, 142 YDS, 1 INT
• RushIhson Jackson-Anderson 7 CAR, 12 YDS
• RecIsaiah Scott 3 REC, 57 YDS

Virginia Tech

• PassKyron Drones 27/32, 307 YDS, 2 TD
• RushMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 13 CAR, 79 YDS
• RecP.J. Prioleau 7 REC, 65 YDS

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

34.5sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

104

Points / snap

0.42

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

VT up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 615 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

VT went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WSouth Carolina vs Kentucky31-6WWestern Carolina vs Furman52-20WOhio State vs Tennessee42-17WColorado vs Colorado State28-9WAbilene Christian vs Utah Tech55-30

Fourth downs

14 calls

VT gave up 1.1 points to the model on fourth down.WOFF 8/8 · VT 3/5 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Wofford vs. Virginia Tech?

Wofford 6, Virginia Tech 38.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (VT) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

WOFF

VT

18%

Success rate

52%

-0.16

EPA / pass

0.82

-0.45

EPA / rush

-0.18

11%

Early-down success

52%

25%

Pass success

66%

6%

Rush success

40%

8%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

19%

31%

Stuffed rush rate

29%

60%

Pass rate

45%

7.5

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.6

WOFF

7.5 yards to go on 3rd down

40 scrimmage snaps

VT

7.6 yards to go on 3rd down

64 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

WOFF		VT
141	Total yards	461
142	Passing yards	307
-1	Rushing yards	154
8	First downs	28
5-15	3rd down	6-11
0-0	4th down	0-1
16/27	Comp/Att	27/34
5.3	Yards per pass	9.0
0.0	Yards per rush	4.2
1	Turnovers	1
7-73	Penalties	8-74
25:31	Possession	34:29

Fourth downs

14 calls

WOFF

8/8 with the model

nothing given up

VT

3/5 with the model

−1.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q3 9:00 VT field goal on 4th & 3 at WOFF 3. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.

Every call, priced (14)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

WOFF 1/9 scoring drives← own end zone →VT 5/11 scoring drives

WOFFPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q1

VTDOWNS7 pl, 50 yds· own 41Q1

WOFFPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 9Q1

VTTD4 pl, 68 yds· own 32Q1

WOFFPUNT9 pl, 32 yds· own 25Q1

VTTD9 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1

WOFFPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q2

VTFUM2 pl, 5 yds· own 27Q2

WOFFINT1 pl, 0 yds· opp 32Q2

VTTD8 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q2

WOFFPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q2

VTPUNT3 pl, -9 yds· own 30Q2

WOFFFG8 pl, 35 yds· own 40Q2

VTMISS6 pl, 25 yds· own 34Q2

VTFG11 pl, 62 yds· own 35Q3

VTTD6 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q4

WOFFPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4

VTPUNT6 pl, 18 yds· own 12Q4

WOFFPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 20Q4

VTEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 29Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 10:52VTKyron Drones 2 Yd Run (Kyle Lowe Kick)6–38
• Q4 13:18WOFFSam Spence 42 Yd Field Goal 6–31
• Q3 1:08VTKyron Drones 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)3–31
• Q3 9:00VTJohn Love 20 Yd Field Goal 3–24
• Q2 0:43WOFFSam Spence 43 Yd Field Goal 3–21
• Q2 6:24VTAyden Greene 18 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Love Kick)0–21
• Q2 11:53VTDevin Alves 19 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Love Kick)0–14
• Q1 6:26VTBraydon Bennett 3 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →