Tennessee vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TENNTeam statsOSU
- Q4 1:56TENNNico Iamaleava 2 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)17–42
- Q4 10:53OSUTreVeyon Henderson 24 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–42
- Q3 1:18OSUQuinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–35
- Q3 9:16OSUJeremiah Smith 22 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–28
- Q2 0:20TENNNico Iamaleava 2 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)10–21
- Q2 6:39TENNMax Gilbert 36 Yd Field Goal 3–21
- Q1 3:27OSUTreVeyon Henderson 29 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–21
- Q1 8:09OSUQuinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:46OSUJeremiah Smith 37 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassNico Iamaleava 14/31, 104 YDS
- RushPeyton Lewis 10 CAR, 77 YDS
- RecBru McCoy 4 REC, 40 YDS
- PassWill Howard 24/29, 311 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushTreVeyon Henderson 10 CAR, 80 YDS, 2 TD
- RecJeremiah Smith 6 REC, 103 YDS, 2 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Tennessee vs. Ohio State?
Tennessee 17, Ohio State 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OSU) was correct.
| TENN | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 256 | Total yards | 473 |
| 104 | Passing yards | 317 |
| 152 | Rushing yards | 156 |
| 17 | First downs | 24 |
| 6-16 | 3rd down | 4-9 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 14/31 | Comp/Att | 25/31 |
| 3.4 | Yards per pass | 10.2 |
| 3.9 | Yards per rush | 4.7 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-50 | Penalties | 3-25 |
| 27:10 | Possession | 32:50 |
- Q4 1:56TENNNico Iamaleava 2 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)17–42
- Q4 10:53OSUTreVeyon Henderson 24 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–42
- Q3 1:18OSUQuinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–35
- Q3 9:16OSUJeremiah Smith 22 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)10–28
- Q2 0:20TENNNico Iamaleava 2 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)10–21
- Q2 6:39TENNMax Gilbert 36 Yd Field Goal 3–21
- Q1 3:27OSUTreVeyon Henderson 29 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–21
- Q1 8:09OSUQuinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:46OSUJeremiah Smith 37 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OSU Elo 2099, TENN Elo 1963 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OSU -7.8 (71% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| TENN | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| +17.7 (#13) | CORE overall | +43.5 (#1) |
| +4 / -14 | offense / defense | +25 / -19 |
| 2.62 | points / drive | 3.33 |
| 1.29 | allowed / drive | 0.97 |
| 23% | three-and-outs | 18% |
| -3 | pass over expected | +5 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →