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Will Howard

#18Will Howard

Line value
14.5 pts
NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank

Will Howard is a Dual-Threat QB for Ohio State. Will's 2024 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 500 plays — a elite rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
309/423 Comp/Att4010 Pass yards35 Pass TD10 INT73.0% Comp %
Rushing
226 Rush yards7 Rush TD105 Carries2.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency92th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 14 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.77 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Purdue (SP+ -16).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Malik CunninghamLouisville20215020.68114.7341.6
Kaidon SalterLiberty20234860.71114.7345.6
Tanner MordecaiSMU20215100.63014.0321.5
Blake SimsAlabama20144730.69615.4329.4
Dillon GabrielOklahoma20234730.73216.1346.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Akron: +0.64 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Western Michigan: +0.62 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Marshall: +0.76 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan State: +0.58 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Iowa: +0.52 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Oregon: +0.59 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Nebraska: +0.65 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Penn State: +0.25 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Purdue: +0.77 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Northwestern: +0.50 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Indiana: +0.42 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Michigan: +0.29 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Tennessee: +0.42 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Oregon: +0.42 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Notre Dame: +0.42 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Texas: +0.42 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsAkronW52-6-17.917/282283070.21800.64
2vsWestern MichiganW56-0-10.218/262921089.3610.62
4vsMarshallW49-143.116/202752198.0-210.76
5@Michigan StateW38-7-4.621/312442179.81410.58
6vsIowaW35-715.821/252094184.32810.52
7@OregonL31-3226.028/353262093.41310.59
9vsNebraskaW21-175.513/162213173.91400.65
10@Penn StateW20-1324.616/241822169.92400.25
11vsPurdueW45-0-16.221/262603076.3710.77
12vsNorthwesternW31-7-8.215/242472095.9000.50
13vsIndianaW38-1520.122/262012186.8-110.42
14vsMichiganL10-1310.619/331751256.81000.29
1vsTennesseeW42-1722.024/293112198.73700.42
1vsOregonW41-2126.017/263193097.7-300.42
1vsNotre DameW34-2323.917/212312099.15700.42
1vsTexasW28-1424.124/332891190.0400.42

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
52.5%
Passing plays
90.8%
Rushing plays
17.6%
Standard downs
48.0%
Passing downs
64.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.44
Passing downs
0.68
Pass / Rush EPA
0.58 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 16 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.