Abilene Christian vs. Utah Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Abilene Christian0-1
▸
Utah Tech0-1
Final
Greater Zion StadiumConference game
ABILTeam statsUTAH
609Total yards508
286Pass328
323Rush180
22First downs22
5-133rd down4-15
1Turnovers2
28:48Possession31:12
- Q4 3:46UTAHBretton Stone 10 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)55–30
- Q4 9:02UTAHReggie Graff 9 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)55–23
- Q4 10:57ABILChris Wright 0 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)55–16
- Q4 11:11ABILSam Hicks 8 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)48–16
- Q3 7:21ABILIsaiah Johnson 9 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)41–16
- Q3 14:11ABILNehemiah Martinez I 73 Yd pass from Maverick McIvor (Ritse Vaes Kick)34–16
- Q2 0:09UTAHEric Olsen 32 Yd pass from Reggie Graff (Ilya Uvaydov PAT failed)27–16
- Q2 0:27ABILSam Hicks 35 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)27–10
- Q2 3:26ABILRitse Vaes 25 Yd Field Goal 20–10
- Q2 11:06ABILRitse Vaes 52 Yd Field Goal 17–10
- Q2 13:24UTAHIlya Uvaydov 32 Yd Field Goal 14–10
- Q1 2:56ABILSam Hicks 53 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)14–7
- Q1 8:16ABILBlayne Taylor 76 Yd pass from Maverick McIvor (Ritse Vaes Kick)7–7
- Q1 9:36UTAHChris Street 7 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)0–7
What the numbers say
- UTAH lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 19% explosive on a 37% success rate
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
UTAH (top)ABIL (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UTAH 0%
Abilene Christian
- PassMaverick McIvor 18/33, 286 YDS, 2 TD
- RushSam Hicks 12 CAR, 203 YDS, 3 TD
- RecBlayne Taylor 5 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
Utah Tech
- PassReggie Graff 13/22, 231 YDS, 1 TD
- RushReggie Graff 12 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
- RecEric Olsen 3 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
23.7sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
150
Points / snap
0.57
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsABIL up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 581 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
ABIL went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Abilene Christian vs. Utah Tech?
Abilene Christian 55, Utah Tech 30.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked UTAH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
ABIL
UTAH
43%
Success rate
37%
0.26
EPA / pass
0.19
0.65
EPA / rush
0.08
44%
Early-down success
41%
32%
Pass success
41%
54%
Rush success
32%
18%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
19%
17%
Stuffed rush rate
24%
51%
Pass rate
56%
7.6
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.7
ABIL
7.6 yards to go on 3rd down
72 scrimmage snaps
UTAH
7.7 yards to go on 3rd down
78 scrimmage snaps
| ABIL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 609 | Total yards | 508 |
| 286 | Passing yards | 328 |
| 323 | Rushing yards | 180 |
| 22 | First downs | 22 |
| 5-13 | 3rd down | 4-15 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-2 |
| 18/34 | Comp/Att | 21/40 |
| 8.4 | Yards per pass | 8.2 |
| 8.7 | Yards per rush | 5.1 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 8-67 | Penalties | 6-55 |
| 28:48 | Possession | 31:12 |
ABIL
5/7 with the model
−0.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
UTAH
8/10 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q1 0:59 UTAH punt on 4th & 3 at ABIL 46. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.80 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishABIL 8/16 scoring drives← own end zone →UTAH 6/17 scoring drives
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
ABILPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 30Q1
UTAHTD7 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q1
ABILTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
UTAHPUNT5 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q1
ABILTD8 pl, 91 yds· own 9Q1
UTAHPUNT4 pl, 29 yds· own 25Q1
ABILPUNT4 pl, 3 yds· own 8Q1
ABILEND2 pl, 0 yds· own 36Q2
UTAHFG4 pl, 4 yds· opp 18Q2
ABILFG7 pl, 39 yds· own 25Q2
UTAHPUNT5 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q2
ABILPUNT5 pl, 15 yds· own 20Q2
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 24Q2
ABILFG5 pl, 18 yds· opp 26Q2
UTAHMISS7 pl, 52 yds· own 25Q2
ABILTD7 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q2
UTAHTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
ABILTD2 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
UTAHPUNT4 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q3
ABILTD11 pl, 79 yds· own 21Q3
UTAHFUM4 pl, 29 yds· own 25Q3
ABILUncateg3 pl, 14 yds· own 49Q3
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 43Q3
ABILPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 20Q3
UTAHDOWNS11 pl, 52 yds· own 24Q3
ABILTD4 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q4
UTAHTD2 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
UTAHTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
ABILPUNT4 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q4
UTAHTD7 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q4
ABILPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q4
UTAHDOWNS4 pl, 6 yds· own 31Q4
- Q4 3:46UTAHBretton Stone 10 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)55–30
- Q4 9:02UTAHReggie Graff 9 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)55–23
- Q4 10:57ABILChris Wright 0 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)55–16
- Q4 11:11ABILSam Hicks 8 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)48–16
- Q3 7:21ABILIsaiah Johnson 9 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)41–16
- Q3 14:11ABILNehemiah Martinez I 73 Yd pass from Maverick McIvor (Ritse Vaes Kick)34–16
- Q2 0:09UTAHEric Olsen 32 Yd pass from Reggie Graff (Ilya Uvaydov PAT failed)27–16
- Q2 0:27ABILSam Hicks 35 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)27–10
- Q2 3:26ABILRitse Vaes 25 Yd Field Goal 20–10
- Q2 11:06ABILRitse Vaes 52 Yd Field Goal 17–10
- Q2 13:24UTAHIlya Uvaydov 32 Yd Field Goal 14–10
- Q1 2:56ABILSam Hicks 53 Yd Run (Ritse Vaes Kick)14–7
- Q1 8:16ABILBlayne Taylor 76 Yd pass from Maverick McIvor (Ritse Vaes Kick)7–7
- Q1 9:36UTAHChris Street 7 Yd Run (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →