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Northwestern

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 15-19 · AdjEM +9.5, 67 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+9.567 of 364
AdjO
112.473 of 364
AdjD
102.982 of 364
AdjT
67.8294 of 364

Northwestern went from +9.3 (#9) on 2025-11-10 to +9.5 (#67) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +13.2 (#10) on 2025-11-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.7%159
TOV%
12.2%6
OREB%
111.9%119
FTA/FGA
33.9%216
Opp eFG%
51.0%156
Opp TOV%
15.9%155
DREB%
11.3%166
Opp FTA/FGA
34.8%177

Games15-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northwestern, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsMercyhurstW 70-47—
11-07vsBoston UniversityW 76-52—
11-10vsCleveland StateW 110-63—
11-14@DePaulW 81-79-8.2
11-21@VirginiaL 78-83-9.4
11-23@South CarolinaW 79-77-2.8
11-27vsOklahoma StateL 81-86+15.0
12-03@WisconsinL 73-85-2.6
12-06vsOhio StateL 82-86+6.8
12-13vsJackson StateW 93-53+25.5
12-16vsValparaisoW 86-70+14.7
12-20@ButlerL 58-61-7.0
12-30vsHowardW 80-60+14.3
01-03vsMinnesotaL 78-84+10.4
01-08@Michigan StateL 66-76-10.9
01-11@RutgersL 75-77+4.4
01-14vsIllinoisL 68-79-3.9
01-17vsNebraskaL 58-77-1.6
01-21@USCW 74-68-4.2
01-24@UCLAL 64-71-6.3
01-29vsPenn StateW 94-73+10.6
01-31vsWashingtonL 62-76+3.8
02-04@IllinoisL 44-84-14.0
02-08@IowaL 70-76-10.8
02-11vsMichiganL 75-87-11.4
02-14@NebraskaL 49-68-13.6
02-18vsMarylandW 78-74+11.5
02-24@IndianaW 72-68-8.6
02-28vsOregonW 63-62+8.1
03-04vsPurdueL 66-70-6.4
03-07@MinnesotaL 66-67-4.1
03-10vsPenn StateW 76-66+10.4
03-11@IndianaW 74-61-7.5
03-12@PurdueL 68-81-12.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.