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Valparaiso

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 17-15 · AdjEM +0.4, 171 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+0.4171 of 364
AdjO
105.2211 of 364
AdjD
104.8121 of 364
AdjT
68.8244 of 364

Valparaiso went from -6.9 (#338) on 2025-11-10 to +0.4 (#171) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +0.9 (#160) on 2026-02-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.6%321
TOV%
14.4%92
OREB%
66.7%312
FTA/FGA
39.1%79
Opp eFG%
50.5%128
Opp TOV%
15.7%170
DREB%
29.8%65
Opp FTA/FGA
35.1%182

Games17-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Valparaiso, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-04vsEastern IllinoisW 66-63—
11-07@KentuckyL 59-107—
11-12vsNichollsW 68-63+9.2
11-16vsBryantW 68-50+12.2
11-19@Cleveland StateW 90-75-11.9
11-26vsSouthern IndianaL 56-64+13.5
11-29vsWestern MichiganW 84-55+9.3
12-02@MarquetteL 72-75-6.9
12-13vsUNC WilmingtonL 70-73+0.6
12-16@NorthwesternL 70-86-14.7
12-21vsMurray StateL 79-85-2.2
12-29@Northern IowaL 48-58-13.6
01-01@Southern IllinoisL 70-75-12.0
01-04vsUICW 66-59+5.8
01-07vsIllinois StateW 77-71-4.3
01-10@Murray StateL 79-92-15.3
01-13@BelmontL 74-78-14.4
01-17vsNorthern IowaW 54-44-1.7
01-21vsSouthern IllinoisW 69-63+1.1
01-28vsBelmontL 77-78-4.5
01-31@Indiana StateW 76-72-1.9
02-03@BradleyL 65-72-5.5
02-06vsEvansvilleW 70-63+10.8
02-09@DrakeW 81-76-2.7
02-12@Illinois StateL 64-86-9.5
02-15vsIndiana StateW 76-75+7.0
02-18vsBradleyW 79-72+1.4
02-21@UICW 71-67-6.3
02-25vsDrakeW 74-71+6.0
02-28@EvansvilleL 79-80+4.9
03-05vsIndiana StateW 63-62+6.3
03-06@BradleyL 84-90-6.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.