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UNC Wilmington

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CAA · 25-6 · AdjEM +8.8, 76 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+8.876 of 364
AdjO
111.581 of 364
AdjD
102.775 of 364
AdjT
66.7331 of 364

UNC Wilmington went from -1.4 (#230) on 2025-11-10 to +8.8 (#76) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +9.6 (#68) on 2026-03-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.8%201
TOV%
13.3%31
OREB%
143.1%53
FTA/FGA
40.7%54
Opp eFG%
47.3%27
Opp TOV%
13.9%299
DREB%
-222.1%352
Opp FTA/FGA
31.0%83

Games25-6

“Ours” is our projected margin for UNC Wilmington, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-10@Kent StateL 77-86—
11-15vsSouth Carolina UpstateW 73-60+9.8
11-18vsEast CarolinaW 85-60+10.9
11-21@RadfordW 81-73-5.5
11-26vsSE LouisianaW 70-57+13.5
11-28vsNavyW 87-57+9.2
11-29vsGardner-WebbW 88-62+17.5
12-03vsMarshallW 70-69+10.4
12-06@LouisianaW 70-63+6.7
12-13@ValparaisoW 73-70-0.6
12-20vsHowardL 66-67+13.5
12-27vsColumbia—+4.3
12-29@North Carolina A&TW 87-78+0.2
12-31vsDrexelW 65-53+15.1
01-03vsHamptonW 49-45+13.6
01-08@NortheasternW 87-78+1.1
01-10@Stony BrookW 75-71+2.1
01-17vsCampbellW 78-75+13.7
01-22@William & MaryL 70-77-2.0
01-24@HamptonW 75-67+3.4
01-29@TowsonW 82-73+1.2
02-05vsWilliam & MaryL 78-85+6.9
02-09@CharlestonW 76-64+2.1
02-12vsElonW 65-54+9.4
02-14vsHofstraW 70-66+4.0
02-19vsMonmouthW 79-69+9.9
02-21@CampbellW 73-68+5.7
02-26vsNorth Carolina A&TW 88-65+12.8
03-01vsCharlestonL 76-79+9.2
03-03@ElonW 76-57+3.4
03-17@YaleW 68-67-4.9
03-21vsDaytonL 61-80+3.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.