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Murray State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 20-13 · AdjEM +5.0, 100 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+5.0100 of 364
AdjO
113.363 of 364
AdjD
108.3215 of 364
AdjT
73.526 of 364

Murray State went from +3.1 (#88) on 2025-11-10 to +5.0 (#100) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +11.3 (#49) on 2026-01-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.8%72
TOV%
15.6%192
OREB%
163.0%38
FTA/FGA
38.7%87
Opp eFG%
52.4%232
Opp TOV%
14.7%236
DREB%
-60.6%319
Opp FTA/FGA
32.3%113

Games20-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Murray State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsOral Roberts——
11-03vsOmahaW 85-77—
11-07vsMississippi Valley StateW 108-60—
11-11@SMUL 91-102-12.3
11-15vsNichollsW 99-79+16.9
11-18vsLittle RockW 89-68+17.5
11-23@Middle TennesseeL 87-90-8.9
11-24vsMcNeeseL 60-73+11.4
11-25@George WashingtonW 96-95-12.8
12-02vsMorehead StateW 84-52+14.2
12-06vsBellarmineW 81-68+14.9
12-13@AkronW 115-100-9.1
12-18vsDrakeW 81-72+12.2
12-21@ValparaisoW 85-79+2.2
12-29vsSouthern IllinoisW 84-81+9.8
01-01@UICW 81-77+4.0
01-04vsBradleyW 86-66+11.4
01-07@EvansvilleW 79-69+10.2
01-10vsValparaisoW 92-79+15.3
01-17vsIndiana StateW 85-81+15.9
01-21@DrakeL 90-101+4.2
01-24@Northern IowaL 76-81-1.3
01-28vsIllinois StateL 65-70+3.6
01-31@BelmontL 86-103-6.3
02-03vsUICW 81-74+8.5
02-06@Southern IllinoisW 91-81-0.7
02-09vsNorthern IowaL 60-89+5.6
02-12@Indiana StateW 74-72+4.0
02-15vsBelmontL 70-87+0.6
02-18@Illinois StateL 61-78-4.9
02-21vsEvansvilleW 88-75+16.0
03-01@BradleyL 78-87-2.0
03-06vsUICL 80-94+5.0
03-18@NevadaL 75-89-5.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.