#6Camerun Peoples

RB·App State·20205.3 pts line value1st Round

Camerun Peoples is a Explosive Back for App State. Camerun's 2020 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 163 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Camerun Peoples's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Rushing

1124 Rush yards12 Rush TD168 Carries6.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

3 Receptions14 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs RB peers

Efficiency93
Volume64
Explosiveness74
Consistency57
Receiving11

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency57th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.17 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.09 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs North Texas (SP+ -8).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Devon Johnson	Marshall	2014	208	0.520	6.0	108.2
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6
Tyjae Spears	Tulane	2022	234	0.450	5.7	105.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
2	vsCharlotte	W35-20	-6.6	13	102	7.8	1	—	—	—	0.61
3	@Marshall	L7-17	9.5	12	57	4.8	0	1	0	0	0.09
4	vsCampbell	W52-21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
8	vsArkansas State	W45-17	-6.5	12	21	1.8	0	—	—	—	-0.31
9	@UL Monroe	W31-13	-18.4	9	52	5.8	1	—	—	—	-0.01
10	@Texas State	W38-17	-13.4	7	67	9.6	1	—	—	—	0.53
11	vsGeorgia State	W17-13	-5.7	17	67	3.9	1	1	12	0	0.20
12	@Coastal Carolina	L23-34	6.6	27	178	6.6	1	—	—	—	0.32
13	vsTroy	W47-10	2.3	10	95	9.5	1	1	2	0	0.65
14	vsLouisiana	L21-24	8.1	21	99	4.7	1	—	—	—	-0.01
15	@Georgia Southern	W34-26	0.2	18	69	3.8	0	—	—	—	-0.12
1	vsNorth Texas	W56-28	-8.0	22	317	14.4	5	—	—	—	1.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

22.5%

Passing plays

1.4%

Rushing plays

36.0%

Standard downs

26.2%

Passing downs

14.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.29
Passing downs: 0.20
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.37 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.