Nikolas Matinpalo vs Leo Carlsson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Senators · DNikolas MatinpaloChange first player
Senators skaters
- William Eklund
- Drake Batherson
- Tim Stützle
- Stephen Halliday
- Michael Amadio
- Shane Pinto
- Dylan Cozens
- Thomas Chabot
- Claude Giroux
- Jordan Spence
- Fabian Zetterlund
- Hayden Hodgson
- Carter Yakemchuk
- Ridly Greig
- Warren Foegele
- Tyler Kleven
- Nikolas Matinpalo
- Nick Cousins
- Cameron Crotty
- Jake Sanderson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Ducks · CLeo CarlssonChange second player
Ducks skaters
- Beckett Sennecke
- Cutter Gauthier
- Mikael Granlund
- A.J. Greer
- Ryan Poehling
- Leo Carlsson
- Jackson LaCombe
- Alex Killorn
- Tristan Luneau
- Jeff Malott
- Tim Washe
- Travis Mitchell
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Nikita Nesterenko
- Tyson Hinds
- Judd Caulfield
- Sam Colangelo
- Noah Warren
- Frank Vatrano
- Nikita Klepov
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Leo Carlsson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Nikolas Matinpalo sits in the 84th percentile, Leo Carlsson the 11th.
| Measure | Matinpalo | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 7 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 6 |
| Ice time per game | 18:33 | 20:35 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.028 pct | 0.1865 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.736 pct | 1.736 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.057 pct | +0.576 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 69.8%95 pct | 48.0%41 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.5993 pct | 3.2084 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5684 pct | 3.4711 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0947 pct | +0.1556 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0529 pct | +0.3282 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1475 pct | −0.1715 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →