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Jack Hughes vs Mark Kastelic

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jack Hughes is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Jack Hughes sits in the 97th percentile, Mark Kastelic the 8th.

MeasureHughesKastelic
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals11
Assists12
Ice time per game22:4710:56
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.5297 pct0.028 pct
Shot attempts per game6.098 pct1.015 pct
Goals above expected−0.614 pct−0.154 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share61.4%78 pct60.1%73 pct
Chances for per 603.3889 pct1.9235 pct
Chances against per 602.1258 pct1.2892 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7195 pct−0.0235 pct
Creates per 60+0.6497 pct−0.0825 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0757 pct+0.0655 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →