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Pontus Holmberg vs David Pastrnak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

David Pastrnak is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Pontus Holmberg sits in the 70th percentile, David Pastrnak the 2nd.

MeasureHolmbergPastrnak
Scoring · NHL
Points22
Goals10
Assists12
Ice time per game14:3020:25
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2477 pct0.3288 pct
Shot attempts per game2.358 pct5.395 pct
Goals above expected+0.370 pct−1.32 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share50.7%48 pct61.1%77 pct
Chances for per 602.9073 pct2.8871 pct
Chances against per 602.8227 pct1.8372 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5791 pct+0.8198 pct
Creates per 60+0.2371 pct+0.8599 pct
Prevents per 60+0.3495 pct−0.0434 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →