Skip to content

Connor Dewar vs Tomas Hertl

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Tomas Hertl sits in the 96th percentile, Connor Dewar the 35th.

MeasureDewarHertl
Scoring · NHL
Points05
Goals03
Assists02
Ice time per game13:4116:25
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1353 pct0.6899 pct
Shot attempts per game1.841 pct5.395 pct
Goals above expected−0.515 pct+0.370 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.7%63 pct72.5%97 pct
Chances for per 601.9335 pct3.8896 pct
Chances against per 601.5385 pct1.4787 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2061 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 60+0.0848 pct+0.4490 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1371 pct+0.1678 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →