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Cale Makar vs Justin Sourdif

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Justin Sourdif sits in the 83rd percentile, Cale Makar the 26th.

MeasureMakarSourdif
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals11
Assists20
Ice time per game21:1113:31
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2172 pct0.1044 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct1.325 pct
Goals above expected+0.473 pct+0.785 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share68.8%94 pct51.4%50 pct
Chances for per 603.3889 pct2.6561 pct
Chances against per 601.5385 pct2.5041 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0947 pct+0.4987 pct
Creates per 60−0.0726 pct+0.3383 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1578 pct+0.1679 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →