Cale Makar vs Justin Sourdif
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Jaden Schwartz
- Nicolas Roy
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Cale Makar
- Fedor Svechkov
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Sam Malinski
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Brock Nelson
- Brent Burns
- Parker Kelly
- Devon Toews
- Zachary L'Heureux
- Brett Kulak
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Ryan Leonard
- Dylan Strome
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Boone Jenner
- Aliaksei Protas
- Justin Sourdif
- Martin Fehérváry
- Jordan Kyrou
- Matt Roy
- Ilya Protas
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Dylan McIlrath
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Cale Makar is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Justin Sourdif sits in the 83rd percentile, Cale Makar the 26th.
| Measure | Makar | Sourdif |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 1 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 21:11 | 13:31 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2172 pct | 0.1044 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 1.325 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.473 pct | +0.785 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 68.8%94 pct | 51.4%50 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3889 pct | 2.6561 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5385 pct | 2.5041 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0947 pct | +0.4987 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0726 pct | +0.3383 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1578 pct | +0.1679 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →














































